Week 10 BlogPoll Draft Ballot
My original ranking method involved a strict insistence on transitive rankings. With the increasing chaos in the rankings, I abandoned this method last week. This week I'm trying out a subjective resume scheme where I pick out a number of teams under consideration (the subjective part) and review the wins that each team has against this group. Also considered were each team's losses. It's far from a perfect system (see Rutgers) but overall I'm pretty happy with the results. As always, first the rankings and then my thoughts. Any input in much appreciated.
Rank | Team | Delta |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State | -- |
2 | Michigan | -- |
3 | Rutgers | 9 |
4 | Texas | 2 |
5 | Florida | -- |
6 | California | 2 |
7 | Auburn | 3 |
8 | Louisville | 1 |
9 | Southern Cal | 2 |
10 | Arkansas | 2 |
11 | Notre Dame | -- |
12 | Tennessee | 9 |
13 | Boston College | 1 |
14 | West Virginia | 1 |
15 | LSU | 3 |
16 | Wisconsin | 1 |
17 | Georgia Tech | -- |
18 | Maryland | 8 |
19 | Wake Forest | 3 |
20 | Oklahoma | 6 |
21 | Nebraska | 5 |
22 | Virginia Tech | 2 |
23 | Oregon | 3 |
24 | Clemson | 8 |
25 | Boise State | 4 |
Dropped Out: Texas A&M (#19), Brigham Young (#23), Washington State (#24), Tulsa (#25).
Some Thoughts:
1. Ohio State - I almost put Michigan here, but just couldn't pull the trigger. The win against Texas is very strong.
2. Michigan - Hopefully they get the kinks worked out and take care of Indiana.
3. Rutgers - Probably to high for Rutgers, but my criteria comes out with 4 quality wins against no losses. The games against Louisville and WVU will be huge.
4. Texas - Perhaps the most improved team in the country.
5. Florida - Just a hair behind Texas, but a loss to Auburn is worse than a loss to Ohio State.
6. Cal - Tempted to move them past Florida and Texas, but the Tennessee game wasn't even close. Another much improved team.
7. Auburn - I go back and forth with Auburn and Florida. Which is better, wins against Tennessee and LSU or WSU, LSU and Florida? I may have mistepped here.
8. Louisville - I think the second best win Louisville has is against MTSU. I just can't move them higher right now.
9. USC - Seems about right.
10. Arkansas - Another team that is awfully tough to rank. Do you put more weight on the loss to USC or the win over Auburn?
11. Notre Dame - Notre Dame always look better when you don't consider margin of victory (and I largely didn't).
12. Tennessee - Had they beaten LSU, they would be in the top 5. Seems harsh, but there it is.
13. Boston College - Four good wins (CMU, Clemson, BYU and VT) but also a very bad loss (NC State).
14. West Virginia - Good win against Maryland is the only thing keeping them in the top 20 on the ballot.
15. Louisiana State - Finally a quality win. Seems about right.
16. Wisconsin - Awfully similar resume to WVU (PSU~Maryland, Michigan~Louisville).
17. Georgia Tech - The ACC is causing me more problems right now than any other conference all year.
18. Maryland - I was really sleeping on these guys, losses to WVU and GT.
19. Wake Forest - Another ACC question mark. Good win against BC.
20. Oklahoma - Watching them this weekend the defense is something else. The offense...not so much. More on Oklahoma in a later post.
21. Nebraska - Maybe a little high?
22. Virginia Tech - Looks like they've turned the season around. Losses were to GT and BC.
23. Oregon - Somebody has to go down here.
24. Clemson - I kind of wanted to drop them, but just couldn't.
25. Boise State - Probably should be a bit higher, but hard to place. Good wins against Hawaii and Oregon State.
"Teams Under Consideration" (in order of ranking)
Texas A&M
Oregon State
BYU
Washington State
Hawaii
Missouri
Tulsa
Ohio
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
South Florida
Penn State
Pittsburgh
Navy
MTSU
Houston
San Jose State
1 Comments:
Your system has a Rutgers team that barely beat a UNC team at #3? i had some respect for your system and input, but not anymore.
I wouldn't put them in the top 12 at this point. Let them beat a ranked team and then give them consideration. The rankings and BCS is set up for the "best" teams....not the "most deserving" teams.
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